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February 18, 2008

Short attention span predictions

Daniel_day_lewis3

If only we'd mastered the haiku. Then we could sum up the races for best actor and actress with as few words as possible, since they're both pretty much foregone conclusions.

Instead, we'll just have to give you the ADD version, in our first day of Official Oscar Predictions. We'll be right except when we're wrong. Feel free to return daily, for purposes of poking fun at us later.

Best Actor

Nominees: George Clooney, Daniel Day-Lewis, Johnny Depp, Tommy Lee Jones, Viggo Mortensen

It's Daniel Day-Lewis, alright? There's a trail of trophies for him already and little debate about Oscar, even though some industry wags say he skated along the edge of parody and kind of got in his own way in the role of oil wildcatter and preacher basher Daniel Plainview. The movie itself was polarizing -- opinions ranging from "Brilliant!" "Masterpiece!" to "Huh?" -- but PTA does have his devotees and so certainly does Day-Lewis. It's his year, again.

Another question is, should he win? Among this bunch (and we love us some Johnny Depp) we'd really rather see Clooney take it for playing a character against type in a taut drama that kept us completely engaged from start to finish. But no matter how suave and philanthropic he is, he won't win. He'll have other chances.

Best Actress

Away1

Nominees: Cate Blanchett, Julie Christie, Marion Cotillard, Laura Linney, Ellen Page

Don't give us that Academy-loves-an-ingenue argument about Ellen Page (talk about somebody who'll have other chances), it's Julie Christie. No one would dare say that the chameleon-like Marion Cotillard wasn't heartbreaking and fabulous is "La Vie en Rose," but it's nearly impossible for a foreign-language actress to take this award. This year, no way, not when you consider how beautifully Christie handled the role of a vibrant woman in her early 60s struck down by Alzheimer's disease. She deserves it, and she'll get it.

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About this blog

Oscar Contenders

  • So "The Dark Knight" didn't make it into the final five after all, never mind that critical and popular support. Let's just call the comic-inspired mega-hit "The Biggest Snubee."

    Here are the best picture contenders in a race that, two weeks away from the Oscars, seems to be a foregone conclusion ("Slumdog") unless there's a come-from-behind possibility ("The Reader" anyone?)

    "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button," with Brad Pitt and Cate Blanchett; the politically timely "Milk;" rags-to-riches fairy tale, "Slumdog Millionaire," Holocaust best-seller-based drama "The Reader," and Watergate-era biopic "Frost/Nixon."

    Could "Button" and "Slumdog" split the vote, allowing another film to take the prize? Doesn't seem likely. After having clung to "Button" for months as what we thought would be the Academy voters' top vhoice, our money's now on "Slumdog." Momentum can't be ignored.

    Watch this blog for updates, ephemera and all manner of postulating.

Picture this

  • Mmmmm, chocolate Oscar. Not every star will walk away from the 81st annual Academy Awards with a trophy, but if they hit the high-profile Governor's Ball they can have pastry chef Sherry Yard's gold-dusted candy version. Also on the menu from celeb chef Wolfgang Puck is tuna tartare in sesame miso cones, chopped Chino Farms vegetable salad with ginger soy vinaigrette, Maine lobster and caviar. Serve it up! (Getty Images)

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