Skilled political numbers cruncher Nate Silver had a point by predicting Mickey Rourke would win the Oscar for best actor -- Hollywood does love a comeback kid and the rehabbed Rourke fits the bill in spades. That story just couldn't outshine post-Prop 8 guilt or Sean Penn's transformative performance in "Milk."
But Silver really went off the rails by saying Taraji P. Henson would take home the best supporting actress Little Gold Man for "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button." (He made four -- out of six -- correct picks, but most everybody did).
Today, he tries to explain himself
-- caution: the words heuristics and rulesets are used -- and takes a potshot at Rourke in the process:
"In the best actor category, we might also have learned a thing or two last night. Namely, it probably doesn't help to be a huge jackass to all of your peers when those peers are responsible for deciding whether you receive a major, life-altering award."
He means pre-rehab.
Sounds like a load of sour grapes to us (and a failure to take into account the long awards campaign and Rourke's valiant battle in it). Maybe Silver should reprogram that computer or skip Oscar prognosticating. It seems to have gotten his logarithms all riled up.