Gluttons for punishment that we are, we and many of our awards blogger brethren started ruminating on Oscars '09 moments after Oscars '08 were doled out in late February.
Can the Coen brothers go back-to-back? Leo and Kate -- reunited for gold? Big Biopic for Benicio!
Never mind that we hadn't seen any of the movies yet.
Here we are a couple months and many non-awards contenders later, and Gregg Kilday says that this Friday, with the release of "Wall-E," the Oscar race is unofficially on. The Disney/Pixar release is a lock in animation and maybe even best film categories.
Since we try not to take too many wild stabs (not this early in the season anyway), we'll give you our perspective on hotly anticipated/potential Oscar bait. There's always the danger of early overhype (evidence: "The Kite Runner," "Dreamgirls") so at the risk of putting the whammy on these movies by even daring to single them out, here are some initial thoughts, in shorthand:
Joel and Ethan Coen, a slew of A-list talent like George Clooney, Brad Pitt, Tilda Swinton, John Malkovich and Frances McDormand get together for "Burn After Reading." Expectations are high, but the Academy rarely goes for comedy in the best picture race. Doesn't mean some of the performances couldn't break through.
Steven Soderbergh's "Che" had Oscar buzz until people had to actually sit through its four-plus-hours at Cannes. Now, it's all about Benicio Del Toro, not at all about the marathon movie. But all prospects are up in the air since it doesn't even have distribution yet.
"Blindness" -- could it spell a win, finally, for Julianne Moore? "Australia" -- Nicole Kidman and Hugh Jackman. Sweeping vistas. Epic struggles. WW II! "The Duchess" -- Oscar loves powdered wigs (on men) and hoop skirts (on Keira Knightley). "Revolutionary Road" puts Leonardo DiCaprio back with Kate Winslet for the first time since "Titanic." "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" -- Brad Pitt and Cate Blanchett. "Doubt," Philip Seymour Hoffman and Meryl Streep.
Heath Ledger for "Dark Knight?" Probably not.
"Changeling," from Oscar fave Clint Eastwood, starring Oscar darling Angelina Jolie. Way hot.
This is just the beginning, and we have plenty of time. Come on back to see us muse until we can't muse no more.