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January 23, 2009

SAG award predictions

Milk-760899 

It's a guild kind of weekend, with the PGA awards tomorrow night and the SAG kudos on Sunday, where we'll be live blogging a show that throws film and TV talent into one room, pours copious amounts of hooch and skips along at an unhurried but consistent pace (no bloated three-hour Oscar-style fest here, praise be, because as we recall the heat, the electricity and the coffee maker all failed last year. Damn ghetto press room).

Check out the Gold Rush predictions below (XX marks the spot), and come back Sunday for the SAG results -- we'll go to the Shrine, so you don't have to!

SCREEN ACTORS GUILD

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

Richard Jenkins, "The Visitor"

Frank Langella, "Frost/Nixon"

XX Sean Penn, "Milk"

Brad Pitt, "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"

Mickey Rourke, "The Wrestler"

 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

Anne Hathaway, "Rachel Getting Married"

Angelina Jolie, "Changeling"

Melissa Leo, "Frozen River"

Meryl Streep, "Doubt"

XX Kate Winslet, "Revolutionary Road"

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

Josh Brolin, "Milk"

Robert Downey Jr., "Tropic Thunder"

Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Doubt"

XX Heath Ledger, "The Dark Knight"

Dev Patel, "Slumdog Millionaire"

 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

Amy Adams, "Doubt"

XX Penelope Cruz, "Vicky Cristina Barcelona"

Viola Davis, "Doubt"

Taraji P. Henson, "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"

Kate Winslet, "The Reader"

  

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

"Doubt"

"Milk"

"Frost/Nixon"

XX "Slumdog Millionaire"

"The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"

 Ed. Note: Yeah, we're probably wrong about this, because it's very much a story-driven film, but feel like "Slumdog" is wallowing in so much goodwill right now that we had to pick it to win something. More likely? Any of the performance pieces -- not "Button" -- would be a better bet.

Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture

XX "The Dark Knight"

"Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull"

"Iron Man"

"Hellboy II: The Golden Army"

"Wanted"

 

TELEVISION

 Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series

Michael C. Hall, "Dexter"

XX Jon Hamm, "Mad Men"

Hugh Laurie, "House M.D."

William Shatner, "Boston Legal"

James Spader, "Boston Legal"

 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series

Sally Field, "Brothers & Sisters"

Mariska Hargitay, "Law & Order: SVU"

Holly Hunter, "Saving Grace"

Kyra Sedgwick, "The Closer"

XX Elisabeth Moss, "Mad Men"

 

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series

XX Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock"

Steve Carell, "The Office"

David Duchovny, "Californication"

Jeremy Piven, "Entourage"

Tony Shalhoub, "Monk"

 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series

Christina Applegate, "Samantha Who?"

America Ferrera, "Ugly Betty"

XX Tina Fey, "30 Rock"

Mary-Louise Parker, "Weeds"

Tracy Ullman, "Tracy Ullman's State of the Union"

 

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series

"Boston Legal"

"The Closer"

XX "Mad Men"

"House"

"Dexter"

 

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series

XX "30 Rock"

"Desperate Housewives"

"Entourage"

"The Office"

"Weeds"

 

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries

Tom Wilkinson, "John Adams"

Ralph Fiennes, "Bernard and Doris"

XX Paul Giamatti, "John Adams"

Kiefer Sutherland, "24: Redemption"

Kevin Spacey, "Recount"

 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries

Laura Dern, "Recount"

XX Laura Linney, "John Adams"

Shirley MacLaine, "Coco Chanel"

Phylicia Rashad, "A Raisin in the Sun"

Susan Sarandon, "Bernard and Doris"

 

Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Television Series

"Heroes"

"Friday Night Lights"

XX "Prison Break"

"The Unit"

"The Closer"


PRODUCERS GUILD OF AMERICA

XX "Curious Case of Benjamin Button"

"The Dark Knight"

"Frost/Nixon"

"Milk"

"Slumdog Millionaire"

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Comments

Jason Texas

I agree about Sean Penn for best actor in leading and The curious case of Benjamin Button for best picture. But, I desagree about the others categories. Anne Hathaway deserves the prize for best actress in leading for your brilliant performance in Rachel Getting Married and Philip Seymour Hoffman deserves for best actor in supporting. What?. Penelope Cruz?. Afff...Never!. Viola Davis is the winner in this category.

jake

I really think Doubt and viola Davis should win. They give by far the best performances of any movie and each performance was nominated -- so how could it not win best ensemble? This is best acting ensemble not best picture. Give it to Doubt over Slumdog this time.

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About this blog

Oscar Contenders

  • So "The Dark Knight" didn't make it into the final five after all, never mind that critical and popular support. Let's just call the comic-inspired mega-hit "The Biggest Snubee."

    Here are the best picture contenders in a race that, two weeks away from the Oscars, seems to be a foregone conclusion ("Slumdog") unless there's a come-from-behind possibility ("The Reader" anyone?)

    "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button," with Brad Pitt and Cate Blanchett; the politically timely "Milk;" rags-to-riches fairy tale, "Slumdog Millionaire," Holocaust best-seller-based drama "The Reader," and Watergate-era biopic "Frost/Nixon."

    Could "Button" and "Slumdog" split the vote, allowing another film to take the prize? Doesn't seem likely. After having clung to "Button" for months as what we thought would be the Academy voters' top vhoice, our money's now on "Slumdog." Momentum can't be ignored.

    Watch this blog for updates, ephemera and all manner of postulating.

Picture this

  • Mmmmm, chocolate Oscar. Not every star will walk away from the 81st annual Academy Awards with a trophy, but if they hit the high-profile Governor's Ball they can have pastry chef Sherry Yard's gold-dusted candy version. Also on the menu from celeb chef Wolfgang Puck is tuna tartare in sesame miso cones, chopped Chino Farms vegetable salad with ginger soy vinaigrette, Maine lobster and caviar. Serve it up! (Getty Images)

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