The Hollywood Reporter The Hollywood Reporter The Gold Rush

« Bale, hat in hand, at KROQ | Main | Oscar and the pneumatic cannon »

February 06, 2009

Predicting best pic; pushing Heath

We're happy to call a spade a spade here -- we've done The Big Flip Flop.

That is, we've finally switched our Oscar best picture choice from "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" to "Slumdog Millionaire." We thought we'd had it all figured out months ago, as you can hear in the above video where we go full pundit with some fellow Oscar watchers.

But that was two whole weeks ago, and a lot has happened since then, namely the SAG awards, the Producers Guild and the DGA. "Slumdog" was a hit at all three. (Writers Guild is tomorrow night, where we'll be live blogging. Come on back to see how the little Mumbai movie-that-could performs).

Darkknight3No matter how much we'd believed that "Button" would be the top choice for Academy voters, we see otherwise now. The momentum can't be ignored. It's all about the "Slumdog," even though films rarely win best picture without major acting contenders.

And if "Button" ends up winning -- it did score a near-record 13 nods -- that sound you'll hear will be our head exploding (and our accu-predictions hitting the skids).

In other Friday stuff:

Oscar campaigning is a multimillion-dollar full-scale attack, on par with a military invasion or a presidential race, especially if your name happens to be Harvey Weinstein.

We've all seen this season the steady drumbeat of A-listers hitting the party and chat show circuit. Whether it's Meryl Streep talking about how distasteful it all is, or Richard Jenkins at his low-key, deadpan, self-deprecating best, we're awash in Oscar nominees.

Against that backdrop, how does a studio go about selling an actor who's no longer around to tub thump for himself, as is the case with Warner Bros. and "The Dark Knight" supporting actor nominee Heath Ledger?

With a bit of subtlety, graciousness and -- gasp! -- restraint, says the Carpetbagger. Read the full story here.


TrackBack URL for this entry:

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Predicting best pic; pushing Heath:


The comments to this entry are closed.

About this blog

Oscar Contenders

  • So "The Dark Knight" didn't make it into the final five after all, never mind that critical and popular support. Let's just call the comic-inspired mega-hit "The Biggest Snubee."

    Here are the best picture contenders in a race that, two weeks away from the Oscars, seems to be a foregone conclusion ("Slumdog") unless there's a come-from-behind possibility ("The Reader" anyone?)

    "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button," with Brad Pitt and Cate Blanchett; the politically timely "Milk;" rags-to-riches fairy tale, "Slumdog Millionaire," Holocaust best-seller-based drama "The Reader," and Watergate-era biopic "Frost/Nixon."

    Could "Button" and "Slumdog" split the vote, allowing another film to take the prize? Doesn't seem likely. After having clung to "Button" for months as what we thought would be the Academy voters' top vhoice, our money's now on "Slumdog." Momentum can't be ignored.

    Watch this blog for updates, ephemera and all manner of postulating.

Picture this

  • Mmmmm, chocolate Oscar. Not every star will walk away from the 81st annual Academy Awards with a trophy, but if they hit the high-profile Governor's Ball they can have pastry chef Sherry Yard's gold-dusted candy version. Also on the menu from celeb chef Wolfgang Puck is tuna tartare in sesame miso cones, chopped Chino Farms vegetable salad with ginger soy vinaigrette, Maine lobster and caviar. Serve it up! (Getty Images)

© 2010 The Hollywood Reporter. All rights reserved. Terms Of Use and Privacy Policy.